Wednesday, November 7, 2007
Trading Indian Stock Market Using Technical Analysis
Indian stock market is no uncertainty 1 of the most volatile stock market in the world; many people have got made billions of profits, and sadly lost billions also. The problem is that 90% of bargainers in Republic Of Republic Of India trust on tips which are given by amateurs and some so called technical analysts who claim 90% Oregon in some cases 100% accuracy, this is very immature and I really experience that some autonomous organic structure in India should come up who should track these analysts closely and give them commanding or evaluations on which investors can trust and then subscribe to them on the footing of the ratings, of the autonomous body. Anyways this volition take clip to formulate, but if done then it will surely convey saneness to the heads of day-traders and investors who put huge sums of money of money on the footing of these analysts tips.
I am more than interested in delivering net income to an average investor but on the same clip I would wish the investor or day-trader to understand the conception of technical analysis, which is a very widely used word among bargainers who make some reading on websites and ticker television channels. Technical analysis is an uncomplete survey of statistical indicators, not one index is perfect, you have got to utilize many indexes together in order to come up to a peculiar decision that a stock is going to rectify or is it going to fall.
There are many factors which consequence a trader's head while trading in stocks. There are three ways a bargainer can trade:
1) The bargainer can name his broker on phone and topographic point the merchandise via phone.
2) The bargainer can merchandise from home via internet, and topographic point order by himself.
3) The bargainer can travel to the broker's office and make trading from there only.
1st and 3rd are old methods, and can convey huge losings to the trader, the 2nd method is also dangerous, but less, if the bargainer knowss technical analysis. The 3rd method can be good again if the bargainer cognizes technical analysis, but then the broker's trading software should have got graphical records for stocks, with technical indicators. Technical analysis necessitates a focused mind, technical analysis is not just making a cup of tea and then drinking it and then you go a celebrated analyst, NO!, it necessitates patience, a focused mind, and surely a four missive word "PLAN". Without planning you cannot win in technical analysis it is the combustible which runs technical analysis, once you be after that you desire to short sell Reliance the adjacent trading day, you watch out for a jailbreak of important support degree and the short sell it, during the intra-day and while short merchandising you also make certain that Sensex and Bang-Up also demo failing or are in clear downtrend.
This a very simple technique just explained to you, but obviously it includes a batch of graphical record analysis which is not being discussed right now as then this article will be of more than than 100 pages and I have got just started typing this article and will wish to make so, in future . When you read the word "PLAN" then many ideas come up in the mind, what kind of planning should I do when I cognize market is going to fall tomorrow, or rally? There are many methods but the best method which I have got followed is to follow the tendency and large pillory like SBI, RELIANCE, TCS, INFOSYS, and SATYAM.
Let me give you an example: To follow the tendency I track bovine spongiform encephalitis SENSEX chart mundane and in intra-day arsenic well, the minute I happen of import turning points, where Sensex will rectify or from where Sensex will resile back at, and when that is confirmed I take a directional phone call on a stock for illustration short sell Reliance at 750 is that is broken and maintain a target of Rs742, halt loss I maintain as 757, which is roughly 1% of Reliance cash market price. When I maintain a target of 742 and I see a bullish pattern forming at undersides in Sensex and at that clip trust is at 744, then I purchase it at that terms or wait for it to touch 743, and do it a point to cover the short sell fast. 90% of people who loose money in short sell is that they either get over confident or they desire higher profits, and wait for lower targets as they get confident that market is correcting then why should we cover it, allow the market correct, this policy sometimes give good net income but sometimes take away money also, and tons of money. So when you are getting net income after short merchandising Reliance at 749.50 and Reliance is at now 743 you are getting Rs6.50 net income per share. State you shorted 500 shares then 500 x 6.50 = Rs3250, state the brokerage is .0005 per transaction (5 paisa), then:
Bought brokerage .0005 x 500 x 749.50 = 188 sold brokerage .0005 x 500 x 743 = 186 sum brokerage = Rs374 Entire net income = Rs3250 - 374 = Rs2876
5 paisa brokerage is like to 5 / 100 = .05 then .05 / 100 = .0005 which is the % to be used in order to cipher the existent brokerage.
Just go out at 743 if trust touchings that level, Rs2876 net income in a single twenty-four hours is enough. Even if Reliance touchings 744 Iodine will exit, because volatility sometimes is huge and I dont merchandise for targets, I trade for profits. When I state I track sensex it is because Sensex is a wide based index as compared to NSE, when I state wide based index, it is because sensex have more than pillory listed in its exchange and its alkali starts from 1975 onwards, than bang-up and also sensex is the oldest index in Asia, NSE came in 1995 or 1996 if i am not wrong. Sensex gives sometimes very early signalings of rectification which Bang-Up makes not.
Another regulation I follow is to merchandise only after 10:15am, this is because when market open ups at 9:55am then market is at extrema of volatility and first 20minutes make up one's mind the tendency of the market, and this phenomena is very of import to follow the trend, what haps that if market open ups in negative then in first 20min itself market might rectify and start moving up which if you short sell in those 20min you will get stuck on lower degrees and hence halt loss will trigger and you loose. To utilize technical analysis you have got to put some rules, and the most of import regulation is to merchandise after 15-20min market have moved and some kind of stableness have formed, in the market. After 10:15am one should read the charts of the indices and seek to calculate out the chief tendency of the index, and then seek to happen those pillory which are moving with the index and are near very important support and resistances, and then once those degrees are broken then one can merchandise in that stock which obviously have broken out in the direction of the tendency and also its important support or resistance.
Technical analysis is not a magic wand which you can swing and get instant consequences in a few minutes, instead technical analysis is a tool which can be used to come in and issue from pillory profitably, or in any financial markets, technical analysis put a batch of weightage on volume. Brand certain the pillory you are analysing have got enough volume so that your analysis is accurate on the footing of tools you are using. For illustration my pollex regulation is based on atleast 1 million shares are traded on that stock to be listed in my analysis list, otherwise I don't make analysis on that stock.
Right now I have got got not mentioned how to happen that support and opposition levels, neither i have explained how to happen the chief tendency of the index, these cardinal points will be discussed in the future articles. I utilize Nipponese candlesticks, in order to happen the tendency reversal points and also to happen the chief tendency of the index or the stock in which iodine desire to take my entry. Nipponese candle holders is huge survey and necessitates at least 100 pages (can travel to 300 pages) of articles with illustrations to be explained in order to do it clear to you. If you follow Nipponese candle holders and other technical indexes and are an amateur, then the method explained above volition convey some method and polish in your trading.
I will stop here my article which is a short one, but will post many other articles to convey lucidity in your head in order to catch the tendency in stock market at right time, as that is the cardinal to success in twenty-four hours trading, otherwise Indian stock market is large jungle and you can get lost in it!
DISCLAIMER
This article is written by Mohit Thapar, technical analyst and bargainer in stock market who is managing his website http://www.bookprofit.com, and are his positions and any determinations taken by any reader of this article after reading it, in stock market then the reader is solely responsible for his/her actions. Stock market is a very volatile topographic point to put your hard earned money, and you might incur losings if you dont follow some rules, or you should engage either a technical analyst or financial analyst to manage your money. If you are interested to post this article on your site, then delight dont cancel this disclaimer and give a nexus back to http://www.bookprofit.com, Bookprofit is a registered trade mark. Bookprofit is registered. Thanks.

